Yeah, PvdA + VVD Think PvdA + CDA sooner. Or CDA and VVD will pick up the LPF just to prevent a PvdA government
I don't see any clear reason for the cabinet to fall any time soon. The three parties seem to have reached an agreement on most subject, so who has the power to make them fall?
Meh, the cabinet looks really really shaky. There have already been two incidents of ministers not wanting to follow the Tweede Kamer, and CDA is losing a LOT of voters with what it's doing.
Latest poll showed a PvdA increase to 55(IIRC) and a CDA drop to 26.
Although a PvdA/CDA combination is possibly, methinks that they'll still go for PvdA/VVD.
And because the PvdA will probably be the largest party with the next elections, it can't be a VVD/CDA/something cabinet. Unless, of course, the person selecting the combination that will be tried out first(officially the queen) will go nuts(or CDA or VVD decide to be complete fools and ignore the voters' wishes.)
I think it's more likely to be ETA.
-They have tried similar attacks on trains before (with Rucksack bombs).
Which means nothing. Anyone can attack a train with a rucksack bomb.
-They have used the same explosives before (IIRC, one of their members was caught in S.France with some quantity of it a few weeks ago).
And anyone can use those explosives...
-The arabic casette is a wee bit too pat: It's just short of leaving a pair of sandals, a camel and a note saying "Osama woz 'ere" (or it's equivalent in Arabic.
And what could the ETA possibly gain by incriminating Al Qaeda?
When you're a terrorist, you want people to know that YOU did it, because otherwise, your attack will have meant nothing.
What could be possible is an ETA/Al Qaeda cooperation. But I doubt it, I don't think Al Qaeda would want to cooperate with a non-muslim group that basically has nothing in common with them.